AUSTEN’S RULES OF LIFE #26: DARE TO BE STUPID!

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This entry will make some people downright uncomfortable. Since that is my point, you’re welcome. Sometimes, you just gotta’… Really. Gotta’ what?!  Just wind it up and let it fly just to see what happens. You become the experiment and the experimenter.

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You don’t know what the outcome is. It’s new. It can’t possibly work. It’s a re-imagined idea. It’s something I’ve been working on for ages and just now have the courage to suggest it. It’s an old family recipe made public. It’s my attempt at doing a blog and registering my opinion for the world (and the trolls) to comment on. It’s sticking your head in the tiger’s mouth. Sheesh. 

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It’s standing on that glass ledge box at the Willis Tower in Chicago or the glass skyway at the Grand Canyon. It’s the barrel over Niagra Falls. It’s the rather courageous and straightforward idea that we should all be judged on the content of our character instead of by the color of our skin. It’s the shock of the new. It’s the rebirth of the old. It’s the fix of an old and seemingly unsolvable problem. It’s casting your fate to the wind and finding out where your course lies. It’s the clearing of the throat immediately after the first few words spoken in a breaking voice urging and daring yourself to go on with your presentation. It’s daring to pay attention to that man behind the curtain. It’s being a one-man (or woman) band without sheet music. 

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Oh, and here’s the real kicker for most people: you might wind up looking like an idiot doing it.  It happens. That’s progress. No, really, it is! It may not seem like it, but it is.

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It’s time. Well past time, in fact, to admit it: you’ve done stupid things before. I’ve done stupid things before. We’ve all done it. Yes, you’ve done it, and, yes, I’ve done it. Quit saying you haven’t been that stupid because you’re both lying and embarrassing yourself. We’re human, after all, and there’s no way to get around that. Unless you’ve perfected the perfect human-android hybrid combination. In which case: I’d like to be one of the first to invest.

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Keep in mind, please, that I am not talking about the common stupidity. The one that’s more common than the cold in humanity these days? The one people posthumously win Darwin Awards for? The stupidity that’s usually summed up by the four words preceding the stupidity, ‘Hey Dude! Watch This!” Yeah, THAT stupidity.

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But, this entry is not about that. It is not about our incredible ability to screw things up as human beings. (That’s a whole other blog entry.) This entry is about the ability to go beyond the borders of what society expects, or even cares for on occasion, and do what’s necessary to shake things up a bit. Pushing boundaries and getting negative results.

Fear to fail? Never mind that. Afraid to try something different or risky because of the possibility of looking foolish? Talk about a boring life. What if it finally happens? Someone – EEK! – does say something about your attempt at whatever it might be? To heck with them. 

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My daughter, Emma, now a sophomore in high school on her more concerned days will worry about going with her mom on a shopping junket. The prime concerns will be those of “what will people think about this hair that won’t lay straight” or “what will happen if I run into a cute guy and he sees the not-exactly-noticeable pimple on the back of my arm” type of situations. I tell her, as I remind her mother often, that it is not the clothes that make you look good but – in fact – the other way around, that she is more than just the number on a scale readout. Helping to assuage her fears about the myriad situations she may run into to cause her embarrassment on a teenage level is not easy, and sometimes impossible, as I think she wants more sympathy than solutions, and a reason to complain. (As I said, she’s a teenager.)

Helping her realize that most people, having that five foot or so sphere of noticing nothing but themselves going on, will not bother to notice (or care) beyond their cell phone display, and that the pimple development is nothing to even come close to a crisis that she may think it is. Hopefully that helps from father to daughter, now and in years to come. Part of that is fatherly advice and love. The main idea from me is the experience that it is totally safe to be free in your thoughts in our society and to – barring rising to the level of being annoying – consider yourself able to dance, sing, laugh, watch, sit, observe, doodle, paint, sketch, act, become inert…. whatever you can do to make you better and more happy. The idea that everyone else is on your case is more a situation for the internet and all the greasy, unwashed trolls in their moms’ basements. In real life, out of doors and off the web, you will find that a good deal of people just don’t care what you’re doing.

There’s a great episode of M*A*S*H in the early seasons where Dr. B.F. “Hawkeye” Pierce is so bored, and convinced that everyone else is the same way, that he challenges fellow Swamp-mate, Dr. John Macintyre, that he can walk across the camp compound completely naked (minus the hat) without anyone noticing. He makes it to the mess tent before the jig is up.

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“You owe me fifty bucks!”
“I left my pants back in The Swamp!” 

While I don’t recommend going starkers to liven up the joint, the lesson here is decently obvious (without being indecent). He, at least, gave it a shot. He failed, being noticed, and owed Trapper John money losing the bet, but he tried anyway.

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When Topeka West High opened up the position of male yell leaders (along with the female cheerleaders), I tried out for the opportunity, underestimating the strength and stamina involved in lifting some of your fellow students over your head and on your shoulders. I gave it my best shot a few times before common sense (and gravity) took over, reminding me that I was better off doing my best as athletic trainer for the Charger team sports.

(By the way, if cheerleader Karen Gregg is reading this, I really do apologize for that last drop. Hopefully, I didn’t cause too much damage to the elbow.)

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I failed. I really blew it. Couldn’t even keep myself from dropping the cheerleader fail. But, I tried, at the very least. I gave it a shot. Was a bit afraid when it happened, but – over time – I have had a chance to look back on the situation and was glad that I gave it a shot.  Very glad, in fact. A coward dies a thousand deaths, it is said. I’ve been a coward at times and it has taught me a lot. Sometimes enough to goad me into bold and straightforward action. And I’ve never (mostly) regretted it.

The title of this rule/entry is, as some of you who know me well enough will spot, is the title for one of “Weird Al” Yankovic’s albums of several years ago.

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It’s a great album. Al was never one for subtlety (although he can write/perform some incredible works), but he also turned the title track into a theme for people to give greatness (through dumbness) a shot.

Talk with your mouth full! Bite the hand that feeds you! Bite off more than you chew!
What can you do?
You can dare to be stupid!

Take some wooden nickles! Look for Mr. Goodbar! Get your mojo working now!
I’ll show you how!
You can dare to be stupid!

Burn your candle at both ends!
Look a gift horse in the mouth!
Mashed potatoes can be your friends!

You can be a coffee achiever! You can sit around the house and watch Leave It To Beaver!
The future’s up to you! So what you gonna do?
Dare to be stupid! Dare to be stupid!

You need to accept that you are human, and therefore – by extension – an idiot.

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Shouldn’t stop you from trying, though. I know some people that are so incredibly and intensely afraid of failure they won’t try anything ever, period. Diving board? New and funky pizza recipe? Different sort of beer? Actually making eye contact with that gorgeous person and striking up a conversation?

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“There is no great genius without a touch of madness.” – Seneca The Younger

My eighth grade teacher, Vernon Hass, a stern crow if ever there was one in the classrooms of the world, had a very simple policy about book reports: if you didn’t want to get up in front of the class to report on what you had read, you weren’t required to do so. You could easily take the zero instead. Saving yourself three minutes of redbarefacedness by creating a gigantic cratering goose egg on your report card was an acceptable risk by some students. Being a gregarious (when need be) type of person, I have never been able to really understand those who can take this approach. Making your life more difficult, engaging in pointless make-up work (if and when the teacher in question ever offers it) just because you couldn’t stand in front of your peers for .01% of your day just seems silly to me. I’m not trying to be berating or unfeeling; the idea of public speaking for some is less enjoyable than the actual act of dying, and I feel for those people.

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Life will offer you chances that will never come again. I’ve had those regrets. But, I’ve also done my best to keep that to a bare minimum if possible. There is a time for caution, but then, there is also time for pushing your limits and finding out what can be instead of forever wondering what might have been. We owe it to ourselves to try. And, sometimes – quite uncomfortably – it means dancing or singing when there is music that only we can feel or hear. Take the leap of faith and (figuratively) step off the cliff’s edge.

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Go for it. Just dance/sing/whatever, and feel better about it for trying it.  Fight the fear and make your stand. Sometimes, you just gotta’… 

AO

 

YOUR WREG-TV THURSDAY+ FORECAST…

HOT AND STEAMY AGAIN or WHEN DOES AUTUMN BEGIN?

32 days and 9 hours as of this posting, ICYWI (in case you were interested) and – with the temps out there – I just KNEW you were.  #MeteorologistIntuition 

IT’S TOO HOT… DO SOMETHING ABOUT IT!

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#Kwitchergritchin already. Dorothy was from Kansas, so she knew how to handle a heat wave as well as wicked witches. 

TODAY’S MID-SOUTH FORECAST

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Hot. #NuffSaid  Highs in the mid/high 90’s. Winds: no help for cooler weather as they will remain from the southwest at 5-10 MPH. Coverage chance of precipitation: 0%. A few clouds, but mostly clear for the area tonight. 

TODAY’S HEAT INDEX:

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Not enough for a heat advisory from the National Weather Service as of mid-day Thursday. Still remarkably hot, though, with temps in the lower triple-digit range. This will make working or exercising outdoors difficult, if not dangerous for those who don’t pace themselves. Be mindful of heat injuries. 

TONIGHT’S MID-SOUTH FORECAST

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Warm with a heaping helping of humidity. Lows only in the mid 70’s. Winds: SSW @ 5-10 MPH. Coverage chance of precipitation: 0%. 

EXTENDED FORECAST: MORE OF THE SAME?

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Looks like it for now. A bit of a downturn towards mid-week next week. So far, the remnants of this week and into this weekend are plain hot and staying that way. #StayCool 

TRACKING THE TROPICS: GETTING MORE ACTIVE

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Information and graphic above courtesy National Hurricane Center: “

"For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an elongated area
of low pressure located about 350 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
has changed little in organization during the past several hours.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development during the next day or so, and a tropical depression
could form while the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20
mph across the Lesser Antilles and over the eastern Caribbean
Sea. The mountainous terrain of Hispaniola and eastern Cuba could
limit development during the first part of the weekend, but
conditions are expected to become more conducive for development by
early next week when the system is forecast to move near or over the
Bahamas."

CURRENT TROPICAL FORECAST

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Most of the current computer models have the storm moving parallel to the East Coast, curving (mainly) away from the Bahamas and out into the western Atlantic. A couple of the models show a northwesterly track, which – if it comes true – could be a threat to Florida and the eastern Gulf Coast. Stay tuned for updates. 

SKYBLOG3: A NICE DOUBLE SHOT OF THE ISS TONIGHT

The International Space Station will be flying over the Mid-South area TWICE tonight – once at 8:11 (brighter, close to northern horizon) and again at 9:47 (dimmer, only visible for a minute or two). Check out more details at Heavens Above! to check and see what’s flying overhead tonight or in the nights to come. 

SKYBLOG3: SKYSHOW FRIDAY MORNING

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Information (and graphic above) courtesy EarthSky: “Get up an hour or more before sunrise on August 22 to see the wonderful celestial attraction in the eastern sky. Look for the three brightest heavenly bodies of nighttime – the moon, Venus and Jupiter – to beautify the morning dawn. Look first for the slender waning crescent moon, and then seek Jupiter and Venus closer to the horizon.”

WREG-TV WEATHER ALMANAC: MISSISSIPPI RIVER

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Continued slow rise over next several days. 

Austen L. Onek, AMS Meteorologist / Station Scientist
FB       TW      G+      Wp     Tumblr    YouTube   >>> austen.onek@wreg.com
WREG-TV News Channel 3 First Defense Doppler On Your Side Weather Center
Memphis, TN, USA

AUSTEN’S RULES OF LIFE #25: SCREEN DOORS ON SUBMARINES DON’T WORK TOO WELL

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“It’s about as useless as a screen door on a submarine,” – Rich Mullins’ “Screen Door”

Think about it, seriously, you know that it makes sense. You see the basic design of a submarine, nowhere does it include a screen door.

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Captain Nemo’s Nautilus did have an airlock, but not a screen door. The fresh breeze above the ocean surface may be nice to open to various weather situations for the operators below is nowhere near found

The Romans, who did not have submarines, if memory serves, had a saying: “When the wind fails, take to the oars.” The basic idea of that saying is that if Plan “A” fails, it’s a very good idea to have a Plan “B”, (plenty of other letters in the alphabet) and have the courage to admit that the situation required a Plan “B” when necessary.

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The most incredible reaction to a problem is one of “it doesn’t exist… and stop bothering me about it” that brings a lot of companies, and people, down to disaster. Fear of a problem upsetting a status quo, upsetting someone’s performance record, upsetting – perish the thought – someone’s personally timed schedule or neatly-organized world is a very difficult thing for people to deal with.

Where’s all this water coming from? There’s a screen door on the submarine? Oh, that must be wrong. This is just a small leak that’s been going for a long while and is now just being noticed. As it is a small leak that has just been noticed, there’s nothing to do but wait and see what happens. No worries. As you were. Carry on. Why are you looking at me like that? I’m in charge and I tell you there’s nothing going on worth worrying about. Seriously. What? Your socks are getting wet? Must be an illusion. Perhaps your toes are too moist?

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“Sometimes you worry too much, Mac!” – Jack Dalton
<minor explosion in the underside of the plane>
“Sometimes YOU don’t worry ENOUGH!!” – Angus MacGyver

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There’s a point that the unpreparedness of one person can cause a lot of problems for many others. (Don’t believe me? Look around you at various locations in society and try to tell me that parents not doing their jobs has led to some of our current state.) There comes a time when you don’t have much of a choice in speaking up to tell people, to their disbelief and their relief, that someone has finally said something. Screen door on a submarine? Too much water inside, you say? Hmm…. might be worth a look at changing that. It’s so crazy it just might work. The palpable sense of relief will come from your teammates/project collaborators that will be grateful that you chose to not remain silent. It takes guts, and sometimes – too often, in fact – no good deed goes unpunished, in that you may be taken to task (or worse) for daring to point out the flaw and making the Powers That Be look terrible.

Pointing it out still needs to be done. The Emperor – gasp – is naked! If it saves lives, if it is something that will help people stay safe or to increase productivity or to make the community a better place, it must be done. The screen door must go.

Then what?

The courage to see the project through to the end. Once begun, half done is good for Mary Poppins, but there is an extra amount of elbow grease that is required to get things finished. You had the guts to tell the Emperor about the clothes, you must go on in whatever is required of you after that.

When the water is pouring into the innards of the submarine because someone made a colossal mistake by installing a screen door, there must be a need to say something is wrong, but also a very big need to say what can we do to fix this so it never happens again?

Stick your neck out to say “this is wrong” is risky, but it also may pay off. Especially when the crafty and tenacious among us say “this is wrong”, but make sure that the first statement is followed up by “here’s what we can do to fix it”. It’s one thing to be able to point out flaws. Any idiot can do that. Most idiots, in fact, do just that, and nothing else.

There was a great episode of the excellent sci-fi show Quantum Leap that landed Dr. Sam Beckett in early 1960’s Florida, very close to peak of the Cuban Missile Crisis. Sam was part of a family whose business was creating bomb shelters, family protection units, and the controversy that went with them; who would be allowed in? Who would be left outside the doors to fend for themselves while you were sealed underground awaiting who knows what was left? At the end of the show, with the Crisis defused, and the future not looking quite so bleak and filled with radioactive fallout,  the elder brother bemoans the fact that – with the impetus for creating the shelters gone – so is their livelihood and their ability to care and feed for their families. Part of the genius of the show Quantum Leap was Sam’s ability to know the future – thanks to supercomputer Ziggy – and be able to change the past for the better where possible. Sam gets the idea to install pools instead of shelters. Instead of “selling fear” they could “sell fun”! Confirmed by holographically-projected friend Adm. Al Calavicci, Sam’s idea changes the future and the family embarks on a new path of success before Sam leaps to his next destination.

It’s true that someone at some point made the decision that a screen door in a submersible vehicle may have been a good, in fact to them, a wonderful idea! The nice thing about intelligence is: it’s adaptable, as it should be always. There will be someone who suggests something new and radical. Sometimes it works. Sometimes, it will make the entire idea sink straight to the bottom. It may be up to you to notice the flaw, point it out and make a corrective suggestion that puts things back on track. It will take courage, and determination and a decent deal of chutzpah, but it can pay off nicely as the screen door is taken out and a waterproof sealed bulkhead is installed in its place.

AO

(THE RATHER HOT & STEAMY) WREG-TV WEDNESDAY+ FORECAST

***HEAT ADVISORY TODAY***

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A Heat Advisory will be in effect for most of the Mid-South/WREG-TV viewing area from 11AM until 7PM this evening.

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Heat Index (air temp + humidity = feels like/heat index temp) numbers will be in the danger category of 105F+ at times in various parts of the Mid-South. 
    

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Remember to take things as easy as possible, especially if working or exercising outdoors in the next few days. Try to save heavier activities for after sunset or before sunrise if possible, to avoid working in the direct sunlight of mid-day to early afternoon, the hottest parts of the day.

For those working or exercising around you, and for yourself, know when to take a break. For those who think that powering through a workout, or getting all the work done immediately at the hottest part of the day, heat injuries may be a major threat. Know the signs of heat injuries. 

 Disorientation, nausea, confusion, extreme thirst and very heavy sweating are signs of possible heat exhaustion.

Collapsing into unconsciousness, nausea/vomiting and – most importantly – very hot and dry skin are signs of heat stroke. This is a 911 Emergency. Do NOT force feed liquids to the victim, especially if unconscious. Do NOT douse the victim with, or immerse him/her in, ice water; that could send them into thermal shock.  Get the victim to cooler surroundings immediately and call for medical help. 

ANY CHANGE SOON? I’D LIKE SOME COOLER WEATHER, PLEASE. ENOUGH WITH THE DOG DAYS ALREADY!

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Nope. Better find a way to stay cool and stick to it. Going to be several more days of this type of weather. Read on for more details…. 

TODAY’S FORECAST

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Very hot today with mostly sunny skies and highs in the high 90’s. Winds: SSW @ 5-15 MPH. Coverage chance of precipitation: 0%. 

TONIGHT’S FORECAST

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Not much better tonight with lows in the mid 70’s. Winds: SSW @ 5 MPH. Coverage chance of precipitation: 0%. 

THE EXTENDED (AND RATHER HOT) MID-SOUTH FORECAST: NO GOOD NEWS HERE

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Forecast temperatures in the Memphis & Mid-South area over the next several days hold in a very hot pattern. Some areas of the Mid-South may see air temps easily close to the century mark, and heat index temps easily surpassing 105F+

TRACKING THE TROPICS

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Two disturbances are approaching the eastern Caribbean, heading west from the mid-Atlantic. Better chances of these developing into organized storms according to NHC forecasts. As always, stay tuned for details and updates. 
    

TRACKING THE TROPICS: NOT THE WAY TO DO THINGS
or 
PAY NO ATTENTION TO THE MAN BEHIND THE CURTAIN

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This “forecast” comes from an individual who claims to be a meteorologist, but has no discernible weather background whatsoever. There are no forecasts at this time that claim the previously mentioned systems are going to be heading into the Gulf of Mexico, nor are there any predictions that say the Gulf Coast or Florida will be targets. Adding the reference to Katrina is, again, not entirely professional. Any forecasts from this source should be taken with a very large grain of salt. 
   

SKYBLOG3: TONIGHT’S STARGAZING

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The International Space Station will be making a Mid-South flyover tonight just before 9:00 PM. For more information, and even more details on what’s visible tonight, visit http://www.Heavens-Above.com and select your location. 

WREG-TV WEATHER ALMANAC: MISSISSIPPI RIVER

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Slow rise continues to about this weekend, then a small drop-off in river level. 

WREG-TV WEATHER ALMANAC: SEISMIC DATA

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All quiet. No quakes in the last 24 hours. 

READY LINK OF THE DAY: PREP KIT

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NPM 2014 DIGITAL ENGAGEMENT TOOLKIT

The Ready Campaign established four universal building blocks of emergency preparedness: Be informed, Make a Plan, Build a Kit, and Get Involved. America’s PrepareAthon! builds on this foundation by encouraging millions of Americans to focus on a simple, specific activity that will increase preparedness.

America’s PrepareAthon! a new national community-based campaign for action that focuses on increasing emergency preparedness through hazard-specific drills, group discussions and exercises. National PrepareAthon! Days are held every spring and fall. During National Preparedness Month we ask you, your family, community and workplace to take action by planning aNational PrepareAthon! Day on or around September 30th. We recommend using digital media tools as a way to promote National Preparedness Month, September 1st-30th.

The 2014 National Preparedness Month theme is: “Be Disaster Aware, Take Action to Prepare”

Spanish: www.ready.gov/es/septiembre

Austen L. Onek, AMS Meteorologist / Station Scientist
FB       TW      G+      Wp     Tumblr    YouTube   >>> austen.onek@wreg.com
WREG-TV News Channel 3 First Defense Doppler On Your Side Weather Center
Memphis, TN, USA

YOUR WREG-TV TUESDAY & FOLLOWING FORECAST…

TUESDAY IN THE MID-SOUTH: WARMING UP FAST WITH A FEW STORMS

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After some showers and thunderstorms developed over eastern Arkansas,  causing a semi-cloudy sky west of Memphis early Tuesday on the WREG-TV Cotton Exchange Cam. After these storms, skies should be quiet and much more clear over the next few days as high pressure moves in and strengthens. 

THE STORY SO FAR…

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Stationary front north of us will be overpowered by high pressure moving in, giving us more sunshine and with it more hot temperatures, including some higher heat index numbers. Be prepared for an extended period of very hot weather in the Mid-South over the next several days, including into this upcoming weekend. 

TODAY’S FORECAST 

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Once the showers and thunderstorms clear the area, high temperatures will reach the low/mid 90’s easily. Combine that with the extra humidity and heat index numbers (above) will be back in the triple-digit range, even pushing Heat Advisory territory. Winds: WSW @ 10 MPH. Coverage chance of precipitation: 40%, diminishing to 20% or less by early evening. 

TONIGHT’S FORECAST

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Mostly clear, warm and humid overnight as lows only fall to the mid 70’s in the Memphis metro area. Winds: SSW @ 5-10 MPH. Coverage chance of precipitation: 20% and falling. 

TRACKING THE TROPICS

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A couple of disturbances in the mid-Atlantic area, moving west, both with a slim chance of developing into anything noteworthy in the next few days. Heading to the Gulf or East Coast states? Definitely want to pay attention to these storms and the National Hurricane Center for updates. 

WEATHER ALMANAC: MISSISSIPPI RIVER

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A slow and steady rise expected over the next few days. 

WEATHER ALMANAC: SEISMIC ACTIVITY 

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None to report in the last 24 hours. Information courtesy of CERI & USGS. 

WEATHER LINK OF THE DAY: THE FARMERS ALMANAC GETS IT WRONG! NO, REALLY!

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To no one’s surprise, except perhaps certain psychics and the New York Post, the Farmers Almanac gets it really wrong. Article via Washington Post. 

GREEN LINK OF THE DAY: MEMPHIS PAPER POWER 

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Paper Power is coming back to the Benjamin L. Hooks Central Library (3030 Poplar Avenue) 10 am – 5 pm on Saturday, September 27, 2014. To celebrate Green Apple Day of Service, this event will offer teens a chance to be creative while building recyclable structuresand professional networks!
 
Teens are encouraged to register today through September 12. Click here for more information and registration details.

IN THE AIR THIS MORNING (and all week long)….      

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Stay tuned for all the latest news, sports, current events with AM 730 Yahoo! Sports Radio weekday mornings with Bob & Josh. 

FOLLOW ME!

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Find out more weather (and all kinds of neat other stuff) on Twitter. @AOnek_WREG3

Austen L. Onek, AMS Meteorologist / Station Scientist
FB       TW      G+      Wp     Tumblr    YouTube   >>> austen.onek@wreg.com
WREG-TV News Channel 3 First Defense Doppler On Your Side Weather Center
Memphis, TN, USA

WREG-TV SUNDAY NIGHT AND FOLLOWING FORECAST

WARMER, SATURDAY, STORMY SUNDAY, HOT WEEK AHEAD

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Hot for the weekend, even hotter for the Mid-South next week. In between thunderstorms, a decent couple of sunset shots were to be seen. Stay tuned for your complete forecast right after a view of Monday’s school bus stop forecast…

SCHOOL DAY FORECAST: BUS STOP 

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Might want to send some rain protection along for the trip from bus to school, and reverse by afternoon as well. 

THE STORY SO FAR

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New stationary front just north of the Mid-South will be responsible for brewing up more thunderstorms tonight and tomorrow. High pressure will get stronger and keep the threat of storms out of the forecast by late during the week, but that will bring us more heat. 
  

TONIGHT’S MID-SOUTH FORECAST: 

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Tonight’s Mid-South Forecast: More showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could be borderline strong to severe with damaging thunderstorm winds the main threat. Lows: low/mid 70’s. Winds: SSW @ 5-10 MPH.
    

MONDAY’S MID-SOUTH FORECAST: 

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More thunderstorms, heat and humidity for Monday. Highs in the high 80’s to lower 90’s. Winds: SW @ 5-15 MPH. Coverage chance of precipitation: 40% through mid-afternoon/early evening.
   

EXTENDED FORECAST:

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Temps rise as chances for showers and thunderstorms diminish into mid-week. 
    

WREG-TV WEATHER ALMANAC: QUAKES

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Zero quakes to report in the WREG-TV viewing area over the last twenty-four hours. 
   

WREG-TV WEATHER ALMANAC: TEMPS

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High temperatures today very near normal in the lower 90’s. Well below the record high of 103 last set back in 2000. 
   

WREG-TV WEATHER ALMANAC: PRECIPITATION

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No precip fell as of mid-afternoon Sunday at the Memphis International recording station. 
   

TODAY’S WEATHER WORD OF THE DAY (I NEED TO DO MORE OF THESE) 

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SKYBLOG3: TONIGHT’S STARGAZING (not likely)

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Doubtful that we’ll be seeing too much good viewing conditions tonight. As we go towards Monday evening, cloud cover drops to the lower 30% coverage range, so not entirely terrible. 
  

GOING TO THE COAST STATES? KEEP UP TO DATE WITH TODD: 

TODD

Join Todd Demers for a complete update on the tropics Monday morning on WREG-TV Daybreak. 
    

TUNE IN AND TURN ON….

 am730-talkback

Dial your radio to AM730 with Bob & Josh in the weekday morning hours for an update on Mid-South news, weather, community events and sports… LOTS of sports. Weather? Yeah, I’ve got you covered. 

Austen L. Onek, AMS Meteorologist / Station Scientist
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WREG-TV News Channel 3 First Defense Doppler On Your Side Weather Center
Memphis, TN, USA

MEMPHIS ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY VIEWING SESSION SATURDAY NIGHT 8/16

MAS_OBS MAS_MAP

The Memphis Astronomical Society will be holding their August observing session TONIGHT SATURDAY 8/16 after sunset at Burton’s Sugar Farm in Michigan City, MS. Directions included above.  More details available from http://www.memphisastro.org

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YOUR WREG-TV SATURDAY FORECAST

SATURDAY IN THE MID-SOUTH

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Clouds began their move into the area, but not so fast that a beautiful sunrise was not visible across parts of the WREG-TV viewing area. Warmer temperatures on the way, along with increased chances of showers and thunderstorms. 

THE STORY SO FAR

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New storm system passing just north of the Mid-South will be sticking around for the next few days, setting off new rounds of showers and thunderstorms, some of which could be borderline strong/severe. High pressure to our south will move more moisture-rich air our way, taking humidity levels back to typical-August level, so get set to get hot and steamy soon. More on your forecast after some weather almanac details. 

WEATHER ALMANAC: RIVER

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On the rise – slowly – after being just around the zero stage marker for the last few days. Over two feet above zero stage by Tuesday. 

WEATHER ALMANAC: TEMPS

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Highs in the Mid-South on Friday were just below normal, but still very warm. Record high for today set just seven years ago at 105. 

WEATHER ALMANAC: RAINFALL

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No rainfall detected in the Mid-South area, especially at Memphis International Airport. Still ahead for the year by over eight inches. 

WEATHER ALMANAC: QUAKES

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All quiet in the Mid-South as of mid-morning Saturday. 

SATURDAY’S FORECAST

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Mostly sunny skies turning mostly cloudy later this evening. Highs: lower 90’s. Winds: SSW @ 5-10 MPH. Coverage chance of precipitation: 0%.

TONIGHT’S FORECAST

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Lows only falling into the mid 70’s. Winds: South at 5 MPH. Mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Coverage chance of precipitation: increasing to 30% by early Sunday morning.

EXTENDED FORECAST

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A hotter weekend, followed by a hot week. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible as well through the weekend and into early next week. 

TONIGHT’S SKYBLOG3 STARGAZING FORECAST:

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Tonight’s skies will see more clouds developing, as well as increasing areas of precipitation around/after sunset, so tonight’s stargazing will be iffy, especially later this evening. 

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If skies are clear enough, Saturn and Mars are two great targets for sky viewing through telescopes or binoculars, towards the southwest horizon. Above chart courtesy of Heavens Above and timed for 9PM Mid-South time. 

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Again, if skies are clear enough, Sunday morning Jupiter and Venus will rise very close to each other. 

Austen L. Onek, AMS Meteorologist / Station Scientist
FB       TW      G+      Wp     Tumblr    YouTube   >>> austen.onek@wreg.com
WREG-TV News Channel 3 First Defense Doppler On Your Side Weather Center
Memphis, TN, USA

WRAP THE WEEK: YOUR FRIDAY & FOLLOWING WREG-TV FORECAST

HAIL TO THE KING, BABY!

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Considering what the weather has been in years’ past, this year’s Graceland Candlelight Vigil will be mild by comparison. Temperatures as the vigil begins will be around 80, so warm – but not hot – and mostly clear skies with light winds. Welcome to all the Mid-South visitors in town for #ElvisWeek2014. 

THE STORY SO FAR

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Dry air remains in place over the Mid-South and the Southeastern United States. Moisture will be returning to the WREG-TV viewing area later this weekend as temperatures increase. 

TODAY’S MID-SOUTH FORECAST

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Sunny and warm for Friday as highs make their way into the high 80’s. Winds: SW @ 5 MPH. Coverage chance of precipitation: 0%.

TONIGHT’S MID-SOUTH FORECAST: 

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Mostly clear and mild overnight into Saturday with lows in the mid/high 60’s. Winds: near calm. Coverage chance of precipitation: 0%.

EXTENDED WEEKEND FORECAST:

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Temperatures warm closer to normal into the late weekend, along with more humidity. Increasing showers and thunderstorms by Sunday afternoon. 

TRACKING THE TROPICS: ALL QUIET SO FAR

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One disturbance just off the western African coast, moving west; not much of any chance of development at this time. Still approaching the peak of 2014 hurricane season. Stay tuned for more details. 

WREG WEATHER ALMANAC: POLLEN 

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Low pollen amounts in the Mid-South again with very dry air in place 

WREG WEATHER ALMANAC: PRECIPITATION

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Another dry day yesterday as no rain fell at Memphis International. 

WREG WEATHER ALMANAC: TEMPERATURE

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Another below normal day on Thursday. Which, for August, is just fine by me. 

WREG WEATHER ALMANAC: SEISMIC ACTIVITY

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No activity within the last 24 hours according to the USGS and Center for Earthquake Research & Information at The University of Memphis. 

WREG WEATHER ALMANAC: MISSISSIPPI RIVER

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Still a fraction of a foot above zero stage, as a slight rise is expected in the next few days. Nowhere near flood stage, and not expected to be in the near future. 

SKYBLOG3: TONIGHT’S SKY VIEWING

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Quiet and dry tonight with mostly clear skies should be good for stargazing, especially away from city lights. Mars and Saturn visible in the SW skies (Saturn with a telescope or binoculars) around 9PM. Again, left over meteors could be visible from the departing Perseids. 

GET YOUR WEEKEND GOING WITH US

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I’ll have more on your forecast coming up Saturday morning on WREG-TV News Channel 3 Daybreak Saturday. 

Austen L. Onek, AMS Meteorologist / Station Scientist
FB       TW      G+      Wp     Tumblr    YouTube   >>> austen.onek@wreg.com
WREG-TV News Channel 3 First Defense Doppler On Your Side Weather Center
Memphis, TN, USA

YOUR WREG-TV MID-SOUTH THURSDAY AND FOLLOWING FORECAST…

TEMPS ARE ON THE RISE…

… but not looking like a major heat wave, which – for August – is very nice to hear. Numbers into the rest of the week and this coming weekend will be warmer approaching normal highs/lows for this time of the year, instead of below normal as we have seen into the last few days. Better chances of rain/t-storms will be possible into the weekend as well as a new cold front settles just north of us and turns stationary. More on your forecast after a look at….

WEATHER ALMANAC: MISSISSIPPI RIVER

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After holding relatively steady, the Mississippi River at Memphis should be rising early next week to near the two foot above zero stage level. 
    

TODAY’S FORECAST

More sunshine for the Mid-South as temperatures rise a bit higher: into the mid/high 80’s. Winds: N @ 5 MPH. Coverage chance of precipitation: 0%. Lowest humidity level: 40% by mid afternoon.

TONIGHT’S FORECAST

Cool and dry again into early Friday morning as lows drop, again, into the lower 60’s. Winds: near calm. Coverage chance of precipitation: 0%. 
   

INTO THE WEEKEND

Definitely changing forecast as the weekend approaches. New storm system approaches with increasing chances for rain & thunder. Via NWS-Memphis forecast discussion: 

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE SATURDAY... AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROF DROPPING INTO THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY.  WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. A SERIES OF WEAKER SHORTWAVES...EMBEDDED IN NORTHWEST FLOW...  WILL BRING CONTINUED CHANCES OF RAIN INTO MIDWEEK.

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By Saturday, stronger storms could be possible to our north as a frontal boundary settles in across the Missouri River valley. Severe storms potential from eastern Kansas to southwestern Illinois could wander closer to the Mid-South late Saturday evening. 

Outdoor activities for the coming weekend should prepare for delays or postponements depending on the weather situation. Remember:

whenthunderroars

TRACKING THE TROPICS

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Once again, all quiet in the Gulf, Caribbean and Atlantic. Approaching the peak of 2014 Hurricane Season in a few weeks, so stay tuned for updates. 

SKYBLOG3: TONIGHT’S STARGAZING

A few clouds, but otherwise mostly clear skies should be overhead in the Mid-South tonight. No notable bright satellite flyovers are scheduled.

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Mid-South sky from Channel 3 Drive around 10PM Thursday evening, assuming clear skies. Courtesy HeavensAbove.com

Mars should be just visible in the southwest to the naked eye from darker sky sites away from the Memphis Metro area. Saturn should be very close nearby and visible through telescopes or good binoculars. Vega in Lyra should be almost directly overhead near 10PM. 

Remember you may catch a few more errant/leftover Perseid meteors (or even brighter fireballs!) as Earth clears its latest rendezvous with the dust stream that creates the shower every year. 

 

Austen L. Onek, AMS Meteorologist / Station Scientist
FB       TW      G+      Wp     Tumblr    YouTube   >>> austen.onek@wreg.com
WREG-TV News Channel 3 First Defense Doppler On Your Side Weather Center
Memphis, TN, USA

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